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Research

Recent Working Papers

Babic, B., Gaba, A., I. Tsetlin and R.L. Winkler (2022), “Resolute and Correlated Bayesians,”
Working Paper.
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Journal Articles

Chen, Z., Gaba, A., I. Tsetlin and R.L. Winkler (2022), “Evaluating Quantile Forecasts,” International Journal of Forecasting, forthcoming.
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Babic, B., Gaba, A., I. Tsetlin and R.L. Winkler (2021), “Normativity, Epistemic Rationality and Noisy Statistical Evidence,” British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, forthcoming.
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Makridakis, S., Spiliotis, E., Assimakopoulos, V., Chen, Z., Gaba, A., I. Tsetlin and R.L. Winkler (2021), “The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions,” International Journal of Forecasting, forthcoming.
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Gaba, A., D. Popescu and Z. Chen (2019), “Assessing Uncertainty from Point Forecasts,” Management Science, 65, 90-106.
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Gaba, A., I. Tsetlin and R.L. Winkler (2017), "Combining Interval Forecasts," Decision Analysis 14.1, 1-20.
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Jain, K., Mukherjee, K., J.N. Bearden and A. Gaba (2013), “Unpacking the Future: A Nudge Towards Wider Interval Forecasts,” Management Science 59, 1970-1987.
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Makridakis, S., R.M. Hogarth and A. Gaba (2010), “Why Forecasts Fail.  What to Do Instead,” Sloan Management Review, 51, no.2 (Winter), 83-90.
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Makridakis, S., R.M. Hogarth and A. Gaba (2009), “Forecasting and Uncertainty in the Economic and Business World,” International Journal of Forecasting 25, 794-812.
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Tsetlin, I., A. Gaba and R.L. Winkler (2004). “Strategic Choice of Variability in Multiround Contests and Contests with Handicaps,” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 29, 143-158.
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Gaba, A., I. Tsetlin and R.L. Winkler (2004).  “Modifying Variability and Correlations in Winner-Take-All Contests,” Operations Research 52, 384-395.
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Gaba, A. and A. Kalra, (1999).  “Risk Behavior in Response to Quotas and Contests,” Marketing Science 18, 417-434.
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Gaba, A. and W.K. Viscusi (1998), “Differences in Subjective Risk Thresholds: Worker Groups as an Example,” Management Science 44, 801-811.
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Gaba, A. and R.L. Winkler (1995), “The Impact of Testing Errors on Value of Information: A Quality Control Example,” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 10, 5-13. 
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Gaba, A. (1993), “Inferences with an Unknown Noise Level in a Bernoulli Process,”  Management Science 39,  1227-1237.
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Gaba, A. and R.L. Winkler (1992), “Implications of Errors in Survey Data: A Bayesian Model,” Management Science 38,  913-925.
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Winkler, R.L. and A. Gaba (1990), “Inference with Imperfect Sampling from a Bernoulli Process,” Studies in Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics, Volume 7 (Bayesian and Likelihood Methods in Statistics and Econometrics), S. Geisser, J. Hodges, S.J. Press, and A. Zellner (Eds.),  North Holland : Amsterdam,  303-317.
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Books

Makridakis, Spyros G., Robin M. Hogarth, and Anil Gaba (2009). Dance with chance: Making luck work for you.  Simon and Schuster.
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Books & Chapters

Makridakis, S. and A. Gaba (1998), “Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy,” in G. Wright and P. Goodwin (eds.), Forecasting with Judgment, Chichester: Wiley.
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Contact

Anil Gaba
Professor of Decision Sciences

INSEAD Asia Campus
1 Ayer Rajah Avenue
Singapore 138676

Tel: + 65 6799 5334
Email: [email protected]

Assistant: Teratai Lim
Email: [email protected]