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Narayan Pant
Professor of Management Practice
Journal Article
Pant N., Starbuck W. H., Barnett M. L. (2003). Which Dreams Come True? Endogeneity, Industry Structure and Forecasting Accuracy Industrial and Corporate Change, 12(4), (pp653-672).
Forecasts are plentiful. Accurate long-range forecasts are rare. But some forecasts are more accurate than others are and a few are very accurate. In this paper, the authors first explore the case of Moore's Law, a forecast that has proven quite accurate for almost 40 years.